Tuesday, June 27, 2006

Liberal Party Falling further and further Part 2

Here, from Paper Dynamite Online, is a Liberal! refuting Kinsella's points (refer to previous post for the points. Enjoy.

On June 21st, Warren Kinsella wrote a post designed to buck-up Liberals. The post was precipitated by a series of rather discouraging media reports proclaiming the Party to be in dire straits. Regrettably, Kinsella's efforts seemed to work.

What follows is a point-by-point response to that June 21st post.

1) The Liberal Party's obituary has been written prematurely many times before.

- The past is not always prologue.

2) The liberal Party is the most successful and most disciplined Party of any Western democracy, and Harper is replicating that kind of discipline in the CPC -- "Imitation is flattery, etc.", Kinsella writes.

- The fact that Stephen Harper has successfully inculcated the CPC with "party discipline", is not a reason for us to feel good. In fact it means we won't be the beneficiaries of the "shooting themselves in the foot" factor.

3) The Conservatives ran a perfect campaign, Liberals ran a crappy one, and still Harper could only manage a slim minority.

- Last time around Liberals had the fear factor on their side, that has now evaporated -- the Harper government is not "scary". Moreover, the CPC got 24% of the vote in Quebec in the previous election and they will probably increase their popular support and seats in Quebec in the next election.

4) Conservative ideology is ideology. Liberal ideology is winning.

- As we've seen from Harper's first day in office onward, he'll do almost anything it takes to win a majority. The Conservative hobbyhorses of "tax cuts, law and order and so on" have been put in service of that end. So in addition to "Party discipline", Harper has also adopted the Liberal "win at all costs" attitude. Yet another reason not to be happy.

5)"The Martin period was an aberration ..."

- Look I'm not a huge fan of Martin or his advisors but clearly if any period in recent Canadian political history was an aberration it was the Chretien period. What is more aberrant than having a divided conservative opposition? The old Mulroney coalition -- the West, Quebec and rural Canada -- is beginning to re-emerge and that does not bode well for Liberals.

There's nothing wrong with being a "Nervous Nellie" as long as you're prepared to buckle down and plan your way out of the situation producing the anxiety. But being a Pollyanna during difficult times is clearly a recipe for disaster.


Blogger Andrew Smith said...

I think the large conservative coalition of the west, Quebec and rural Canada cannot be maintained for long periods of time. Eventually the three groups will have competing interests that are not reconcilable. It has happened before - the so-creds were western.

Harper is a smart and cunning leader so it is possible he has the skills to bring it all together - I just don't think it's a wrap yet and it's dangerous to underestimate the grits.

Tuesday, June 27, 2006 10:00:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The word progressive has become socialist, new age, crystal power, philosophy. The true meaning of liberal is long gone and has also merged with the new age crystal power, PETA type of thinking.
Rational thinking will surely prevail. I see glimmers of hope in some Lib candidates such as Dion or Ignatief. For the hope of Canada they will prevail. If Harper were to lose then these would do.

Tuesday, June 27, 2006 10:23:00 PM  
Blogger Joanne (True Blue) said...

Very interesting comments from the Liberal POV. I think anyone who sits back and smugly assumes they've got all the answers is doomed to failure.

Stephen Harper's gift as a leader is that he is constantly attentive to everything around him. He is a brilliant strategist, a gifted policy-developer, and a strong leader who is able to rally differing factions within the party to focus on the common goal.

He never sits back and rests on his laurels though.

And he just happens to be a man of integrity to boot. Tough to beat that combination.

Wednesday, June 28, 2006 3:35:00 AM  
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